Tuesday, August 31, 2010

FOREXYARD: Forex News Blog

FOREXYARD: Forex News Blog

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Gold Set for a Bearish Correction

Posted: 30 Aug 2010 01:27 AM PDT

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Gold prices have been rising substantially over the last few weeks, as the commodity is being seen more and more as a safe haven while the pace of the global economic recovery is being questioned. As we will show through a number of technical indicators, prices may have reached a saturation point, meaning a downward correction could take place.

For our analysis, we will be looking at the 8-hour chart for gold, provided by Forexyard. The technical indicators being used are the Relative Strength Index (RSI), the Williams Percent Range and the MACD.

1. As can be seen, the RSI is currently trading right above the upper resistance line, at the 70 level. This is typically seen as a sign that gold is in overbought territory and a bearish correction is likely to take place.

2. The Williams Percent Range is trading right at the -20 level. Anything above this level is considered to be overbought, and is usually considered to be a sign of impending downward movement.

3. The MACD has formed a cross well above the moving signal in a clear indication that the commodity has reached a saturation point in the market. Traders can expect downward movement, as investors are likely to begin selling off their positions.
tech 30.8

US and Canadian Dollars on Today’s Agenda

Posted: 29 Aug 2010 10:28 PM PDT

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Today's primary news events will be circling the US and Canada at 12:30 GMT since both economies are scheduled to release a series of figures at that time. The US dollar has been climbing steadily since last week as the market looks to this Friday's release of Non-Farm Payrolls for more certainty and direction in this time of risk aversion.

Today's leading news events:

12:30 GMT: CAD – Current Account

- The Current Account is a measure of the difference between a country's exports and imports and acts as one gauge of a nation's trade balance. Canada's deficit has grown somewhat worse than forecasted these past few months, and if today's reading is anything similar we should see the CAD take a minor dive against some of its currency rivals.

12:30 GMT: USD – Personal Spending

- The Personal Spending report is one of the more important data releases for the US economy, but its impact is muted since the Retail Sales report is issued approximately two weeks earlier. Nevertheless, this report measures the percentage change of consumer spending across the United States for the previous month, making it an accurate gauge of consumer confidence, spending, and growth. If this figure comes in line, or higher, than forecasts, we should see the USD continue to gain a bit more in today's trading.

Saturday, August 28, 2010

Tips GBP/USD

TIPS 6. KHUSUS UNTUK GBP/USD

Caranya :
1. Lihat posisi open hari ini
2. Lihat posisi change pada saat mau trading
3. Start trading 12.00 s.d 21.00 maximal 23.00 wib
4. open posisi bila change bergerak ke angka +20 atau -20
5. Take profit 10 s.d 50 pips Stop Loss 30 pips / trade
6. besarnya Lot / kuantiti 5 s.d 20 % dari modal / per trade

contoh :
Hari ini open di titik 1.9700, buy jika tersentuh 1.9720 dan sell jika tersentuh 1.9680
Take profit 10 s.d 50 pips dan stop loss 30 pips

Catatan :
Karakter GBP USD ini adalah jika pair ini bergerak ke angka change 20 maka rata rata akan meluncur dan akan reverse di angka change 30 s.d 40.
GBP USD akan sideways di change 20 dan 30, sideways biasanya disebabkan hari sebelumnya terjadi pergerakan harga yang cukup besar sekitar 100 s.d 200 pips, maka pair ini hari berikutnya biasanya akan sideways.
mudah to…

TIPS 7. KHUSUS UNTUK EUR/GBP

- Money management : gw trade max 10% dari modal (seringkali 5%)
- TP 10 pips. Kl ditungguin, TP dah 5 pips ke atas pasti gw closed.
- Tanpa SL (pengalaman awal2 pake SL malah kena SL mulu. Ternyata kalo di biarin akhirnya TP juga).
- Sehari minimal OP 2 posisi. Rata2 gw OP 4 posisi.
- Indi cukup 2 aja. Parabolic SAR dan MACD. (Sebenernya gak pake indi sama sekali juga gpp )

Cara open posisi/entry point ada 2 sbb :

1. BUY dan SELL pada range 10-20 pip UP/DOWN dari nilai OPEN harian.
Misal op hari ini di 0.6755, berarti kita pasang pending order di :
BUY 0.6735 (0.6755-20 pips)
SELL 0.6775 (0.6755+20 pips)
Range bisa di set sesuai kondisi market, tapi masi dalam batas 10-20 pips.
Jadi tinggal pasang pending order, besoknya tinggal cek aja. 99% kena TP. Kl ada yg floating biarin aja sampe TP.

Tambahan catatan : Kalo 2 candle terakhir (daily) pergerakannya di bawah 20 pips, pake aja batas 10 pips, soalnya kl pake 20 bakal susah kesentuhnya.

2. Nilai Pivot
Misal data hari kemaren :
HIGH = 0.6765
LOW = 0.6741

Rumus :
a. Downtrend
BUY = Low kemarin - {(HIGH-LOW)/2}
SELL = Low kemaren + {(HIGH-LOW)/2}

b. Uptrend
BUY = High kemarin - {(HIGH-LOW)/2}
SELL = High kemaren + {(HIGH-LOW)/2}

Hari ini tgl 4 Sept adalah Downtrend, jadi kita pake rumus :
BUY = Low kemarin - {(HIGH-LOW)/2}
SELL = Low kemaren + {(HIGH-LOW)/2}

(0.6765-0.6741)/2 = 12
Jadi hari ini kita pasang order
* BUY nya di 0.6729 (Low kmrn 0.6741 - 12)
* SELL di 0.6753 (Low kmrn 0.6741 + 12 pips)

Trading Valas/Forex Trading dalam Perspektif Islam

Bisnis FOREX trading merupakan bisnis yang sangat menggiurkan dimaan kita bisa memperoleh profit yang cukup lumayan dalam waktu yang relatif singkat. Apalagi dengan kehadiran Team Intradayprofit.Com yang memberikan jasa forex signal di internet, semakin memudahkan setiap orang untuk mendulang profit di bisnis ini bahkan tanpa harus melewati upaya belajar yang terlalu lama dan tanpa harus memahami analisa teknika/maupun fundamental yang memusingkan kepala.

Penghasilan para trader-trader profesional sangat dan jauh meninggalkan para pelaku-pelaku bisnis lainnya seperti para pelaku bisnis MLM dan perdagangan konvensional. Tapi kemudian banyak yang mempertanyakan kehalalan dari hasil yang diperoleh bisnis forex trading ini dikarenakan sifatnya yang abstrak dan tidak kasat mata.

Sebagian umat Islam meragukan kehalalan praktik perdagangan berjangka. Bagaimana menurut padangan para pakar Islam?

Jangan engkau menjual sesuatu yang tidak ada padamu,” sabda Nabi Muhammad SAW, dalam sebuah hadits riwayat Abu Hurairah.

Oleh sementara fuqaha (ahli fiqih Islam), hadits tersebut ditafsirkan secara saklek. Pokoknya, setiap praktik jual beli yang tidak ada barangnya pada waktu akad, haram. Penafsiran secara demikian itu, tak pelak lagi, membuat fiqih Islam sulit untuk memenuhi tuntutan jaman yang terus berkembang dengan perubahan-perubahannya.

Karena itu, sejumlah ulama klasik yang terkenal dengan pemikiran cemerlangnya, menentang cara penafsiran yang terkesan sempit tersebut. Misalnya, Ibn al-Qayyim. Ulama bermazhab Hambali ini berpendapat, bahwa tidak benar jual-beli barang yang tidak ada dilarang. Baik dalam Al Qur’an,sunnah maupun fatwa para sahabat, larangan itu tidak ada.

Dalam Sunnah Nabi, hanya terdapat larangan menjual barang yang belum ada, sebagaimana larangan beberapa barang yang sudah ada pada waktu akad. “Causa legis atau ilat larangan tersebut bukan ada atau tidak adanya barang, melainkan garar,” ujar Dr. Syamsul Anwar , MA dari IAIN SUKA Yogyakarta menjelaskan pendapat Ibn al-Qayyim. Garar adalah ketidakpastian tentang apakah barang yang diperjual-belikan itu dapat diserahkan atau tidak. Misalnya, seseorang menjual unta yang hilang. Atau menjual barang milik orang lain, padahal tidak diberi kewenangan oleh yang bersangkutan.

Jadi, meskipun pada waktu akad barangnya tidak ada, namun ada kepastian diadakan pada waktu diperlukan sehingga bisa diserahkan kepada pembeli, maka jual beli tersebut sah. Sebaliknya, kendati barangnya sudah ada tapi - karena satu dan lain hal — tidak mungkin diserahkan kepada pembeli, maka jual beli itu tidak sah.

Perdagangan berjangka, jelas, bukan garar. Sebab, dalam kontrak berjangkanya, jenis komoditi yang dijual-belikan sudah ditentukan. Begitu juga dengan jumlah, mutu, tempat dan waktu penyerahannya. Semuanya berjalan di atas rel aturan resmi yang ketat, sebagai antisipasi terjadinya praktek penyimpangan berupa penipuan — satu hal yang sebetulnya bisa juga terjadi pada praktik jua-beli konvensional.

Dalam perspektif hukum Islam, Perdagangan Berjangka Komoditi (PBK) (forex adalah bagian dari PBK) dapat dimasukkan ke dalam kategori almasa’il almu’ashirah atau masalah-masalah hukum Islam kontemporer. Karena itu, status hukumnya dapat dikategorikan kepada masalah ijtihadiyyah. Klasifikasi ijtihadiyyah masuk ke dalam wilayah fi ma la nasha fih, yakni masalah hukum yang tidak mempunyai referensi nash hukum yang pasti.

Dalam kategori masalah hukum al-Sahrastani, ia termasuk ke dalam paradigma al-nushush qad intahat wa al-waqa’I la tatanahi. Artinya, nash hukum dalam bentuk Al-Quran dan Sunnah sudah selesai; tidak lagi ada tambahan. Dengan demikian, kasus-kasus hukum yang baru muncul mesti diberikan kepastian hukumnya melalui ijtihad.

Dalam kasus hukum PBK, ijtihad dapat merujuk kepada teori perubahan hukum yang diperkenalkan oleh Ibn Qoyyim al-Jauziyyah. Ia menjelaskan, fatwa hukum dapat berubah karena beberapa variabel perubahnya, yakni: waktu, tempat, niat, tujuan dan manfaat. Teori perubahan hukum ini diturunkan dari paradigma ilmu hukum dari gurunya Ibn Taimiyyah, yang menyatakan bahwa a-haqiqah fi al-a’yan la fi al-adzhan. Artinya, kebenaran hukum itu dijumpai dalam kenyataan empirik; bukan dalam alam pemikiran atau alam idea.

Paradigma ini diturunkan dari prinsip hukum Islam tentang keadilan yang dalam Al Quran digunakan istilah al-mizan, a-qisth, al-wasth, dan al-adl.

Dalam penerapannya, secara khusus masalah PBK dapat dimasukkan ke dalam bidang kajian fiqh al-siyasah maliyyah, yakni politik hukum kebendaan. Dengan kata lain, PBK termasuk kajian hukum Islam dalam pengertian bagaimana hukum Islam diterapkan dalam masalah kepemilikan atas harta benda, melalui perdagangan berjangka komoditi dalam era globalisasi dan perdagangan bebas.

Realisasi yang paling mungkin dalam rangka melindungi pelaku dan pihak-pihak yang terlibat dalam perdagangan berjangka komoditi dalam ruang dan waktu serta pertimbangan tujuan dan manfaatnya dewasa ini, sejalan dengan semangat dan bunyi UU No. 32/1977 tentang PBK.

Karena teori perubahan hukum seperti dijelaskan di atas, dapat menunjukkan elastisitas hukum Islam dalam kelembagaan dan praktek perekonomian, maka PBK dalam sistem hukum Islam dapat dianalogikan dengan bay’ al-salam’ajl bi’ajil.

Bay’ al-salam dapat diartikan sebagai berikut. Al-salam atau al-salaf adalah bay’ ajl bi’ajil, yakni memperjualbelikan sesuatu yang dengan ketentuan sifat-sifatnya yang terjamin kebenarannya. Di dalam transaksi demikian, penyerahan ra’s al-mal dalam bentuk uang sebagai nilai tukar didahulukan daripada penyerahan komoditi yang dimaksud dalam transaksi itu. Ulama Syafi’iyah dan Hanabilah mendefinisikannya dengan: “Akad atas komoditas jual beli yang diberi sifat terjamin yang ditangguhkan (berjangka) dengan harga jual yang ditetapkan di dalam bursa akad”.

Keabsahan transaksi jual beli berjangka, ditentukan oleh terpenuhinya rukun dan syarat sebagai berikut :

Rukun sebagai unsur-unsur utama yang harus ada dalam suatu peristiwa transaksi Unsur-unsur utama di dalam bay’ al-salam adalah:

Pihak-pihak pelaku transaksi (‘aqid) yang disebut dengan istilah muslim atau muslim ilaih.
Objek transaksi (ma’qud alaih), yaitu barang-barang komoditi berjangka dan harga tukar (ra’s al-mal al-salam dan al-muslim fih).
Kalimat transaksi (Sighat ‘aqad), yaitu ijab dan kabul . Yang perlu diperhatikan dari unsur-unsur tersebut, adalah bahwa ijab dan qabul dinyatakan dalam bahasa dan kalimat yang jelas menunjukkan transaksi berjangka. Karena itu, ulama Syafi’iyah menekankan penggunaan istilah al-salam atau al-salaf di dalam kalimat-kalimat transaksi itu, dengan alasan bahwa ‘aqd al-salam adalah bay’ al-ma’dum dengan sifat dan cara berbeda dari akad jual dan beli (buy).

Syarat-syarat

Persyaratan menyangkut objek transaksi, adalah: bahwa objek transaksi harus memenuhi kejelasan mengenai: jenisnya (an yakun fi jinsin ma’lumin), sifatnya, ukuran (kadar), jangka penyerahan, harga tukar, tempat penyerahan.

Persyaratan yang harus dipenuhi oleh harga tukar (al-tsaman), adalah, Pertama, kejelasan jenis alat tukar, yaitu dirham, dinar, rupiah atau dolar dsb atau barang-barang yang dapat ditimbang, disukat, dsb. Kedua, kejelasan jenis alat tukar apakah rupiah, dolar Amerika, dolar Singapura, dst. Apakah timbangan yang disepakati dalam bentuk kilogram, pond, dst.

Kejelasan tentang kualitas objek transaksi, apakah kualitas istimewa, baik sedang atau buruk. Syarat-syarat di atas ditetapkan dengan maksud menghilangkan jahalah fi al-’aqd atau alasan ketidaktahuan kondisi-kondisi barang pada saat transaksi. Sebab hal ini akan mengakibatkan terjadinya perselisihan di antara pelaku transaksi, yang akan merusak nilai transaksi.

Kejelasan jumlah harga tukar. Penjelasan singkat di atas nampaknya telah dapat memberikan kejelasan kebolehan PBK. Kalaupun dalam pelaksanaannya masih ada pihak-pihak yang merasa dirugikan dengan peraturan perundang-undangan yang ada, maka dapatlah digunakan kaidah hukum atau legal maxim yang berbunyi: ma la yudrak kulluh la yutrak kulluh. Apa yang tidak dapat dilaksanakan semuanya, maka tidak perlu ditinggalkan keseluruhannya.

Dengan demikian, hukum dan pelaksanaan PBK sampai batas-batas tertentu boleh dinyatakan dapat diterima atau setidak-tidaknya sesuai dengan semangat dan jiwa norma hukum Islam, dengan menganalogikan kepada bay’ al-salam.

بســـــــم الله الرحمن الرحيـــــــم

Dalam bukunya Prof. Drs. Masjfuk Zuhdi yang berjudul MASAIL FIQHIYAH; Kapita Selecta Hukum Islam, diperoleh bahwa Forex (Perdagangan Valas) diperbolehkan dalam hukum islam.

Perdagangan valuta asing timbul karena adanya perdagangan barang-barang kebutuhan/komoditi antar negara yang bersifat internasional. Perdagangan (Ekspor-Impor) ini tentu memerlukan alat bayar yaitu UANG yang masing-masing negara mempunyai ketentuan sendiri dan berbeda satu sama lainnya sesuai dengan penawaran dan permintaan diantara negara-negara tersebut sehingga timbul PERBANDINGAN NILAI MATA UANG antar negara.

Perbandingan nilai mata uang antar negara terkumpul dalam suatu BURSA atau PASAR yang bersifat internasional dan terikat dalam suatu kesepakatan bersama yang saling menguntungkan. Nilai mata uang suatu negara dengan negara lainnya ini berubah (berfluktuasi) setiap saat sesuai volume permintaan dan penawarannya. Adanya permintaan dan penawaran inilah yang menimbulkan transaksi mata uang. Yang secara nyata hanyalah tukar-menukar mata uang yang berbeda nilai.

HUKUM ISLAM dalam TRANSAKSI VALAS
1. Ada Ijab-Qobul: —> Ada perjanjian untuk memberi dan menerima

* Penjual menyerahkan barang dan pembeli membayar tunai.
* Ijab-Qobulnya dilakukan dengan lisan, tulisan dan utusan.
* Pembeli dan penjual mempunyai wewenang penuh melaksanakan dan melakukan tindakan-tindakan hukum (dewasa dan berpikiran sehat)

2. Memenuhi syarat menjadi objek transaksi jual-beli yaitu:

* Suci barangnya (bukan najis)
* Dapat dimanfaatkan
* Dapat diserahterimakan
* Jelas barang dan harganya
* Dijual (dibeli) oleh pemiliknya sendiri atau kuasanya atas izin pemiliknya
* Barang sudah berada ditangannya jika barangnya diperoleh dengan imbalan.

Perlu ditambahkan pendapat Muhammad Isa, bahwa jual beli saham itu diperbolehkan dalam agama.

لاتشترواالسمك فیالماءفاءنه غرد

“Jangan kamu membeli ikan dalam air, karena sesungguhnya jual beli yang demikian itu mengandung penipuan”. (Hadis Ahmad bin Hambal dan Al Baihaqi dari Ibnu Mas’ud)

Jual beli barang yang tidak di tempat transaksi diperbolehkan dengan syarat harus diterangkan sifat-sifatnya atau ciri-cirinya. Kemudian jika barang sesuai dengan keterangan penjual, maka sahlah jual belinya. Tetapi jika tidak sesuai maka pembeli mempunyai hak khiyar, artinya boleh meneruskan atau membatalkan jual belinya. Hal ini sesuai dengan hadis Nabi riwayat Al Daraquthni dari Abu Hurairah:

من سترئ شيتالم يرهفله الخيارإذاراه

“Barang siapa yang membeli sesuatu yang ia tidak melihatnya, maka ia berhak khiyar jika ia telah melihatnya”.

Jual beli hasil tanam yang masih terpendam, seperti ketela, kentang, bawang dan sebagainya juga diperbolehkan, asal diberi contohnya, karena akan mengalami kesulitan atau kerugian jika harus mengeluarkan semua hasil tanaman yang terpendam untuk dijual. Hal ini sesuai dengan kaidah hukum Islam:

المشقة تجلب التيسر

Kesulitan itu menarik kemudahan.

Demikian juga jual beli barang-barang yang telah terbungkus/tertutup, seperti makanan kalengan, LPG, dan sebagainya, asalkam diberi label yang menerangkan isinya. Vide Sabiq, op. cit. hal. 135. Mengenai teks kaidah hukum Islam tersebut di atas, vide Al Suyuthi, Al Ashbah wa al Nadzair, Mesir, Mustafa Muhammad, 1936 hal. 55.

JUAL BELI VALUTA ASING DAN SAHAM

Yang dimaksud dengan valuta asing adalah mata uang luar negeri seperti dolar Amerika, Poundsterling Inggris, Euro, dollar Australia, Ringgit Malaysia dan sebagainya.

Apabila antara negara terjadi perdagangan internasional maka tiap negara membutuhkan valuta asing sebagai alat pembayaran luar negeri yang dalam dunia perdagangan disebut devisa. Misalnya eksportir Indonesia akan memperoleh devisa dari hasil ekspornya, sebaliknya importir Indonesia memerlukan devisa untuk mengimpor dari luar negeri.

Dengan demikian akan timbul penawaran dan perminataan di bursa valuta asing. setiap negara berwenang penuh menetapkan kurs uangnya masing-masing (kurs adalah perbandingan nilai uangnya terhadap mata uang asing) misalnya 1 dolar Amerika = Rp. 12.000. Namun kurs uang atau perbandingan nilai tukar setiap saat bisa berubah-ubah, tergantung pada kekuatan ekonomi negara masing-masing. Pencatatan kurs uang dan transaksi jual beli valuta asing diselenggarakan di Bursa Valuta Asing

Dihimpun dari berbagai sumber.

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How forex scalpers make money

This article is part of our guide on how to use scalping tequniques to trade forex. If you haven't already we recommend you read the first part of series on forex scalping.

We have already stated that scalping is about making small profits over a long time which can reach significant amounts when combined. But of course, scalping is not about randomly entering the market and buying or selling while expecting luck to be on our side. Instead, a successful scalper is very methodical about both his decisions and expectations from the market. He aims to combine various unique features of the forex market to create profitable conditions for trading, and in this sense he aims to exploit the most basic features of the market for his purposes. Scalping is not only about exploiting economic events, price trends, and market events, but also the basic structure, and internal dynamics of the currency market itself, and this is what sets it apart from other strategies such as swing trading or trend following.
Exploiting sharp price movements

Many scalpers like to concentrate on the sharp movements which frequently occur in the currency market. In this case, the aim is to exploit sudden changes in market liquidity for quick gains later. This kind of scalping is not very much concerned about the nature of the market traded, whether prices are trending or ranging, but attaches great importance to volatility. The purpose is to identify the cases where temporary shortages of liquidity create imbalances that offer trade opportunities.

In example, let’s consider a typical for traders of the EURUSD pair. In most cases, spreads are tight, and the market is liquid enough to prevent any meaningful gaps in the bid-ask spreads. But when, for whatever reason (often a news shock, but we don’t concern ourselves with the cause here), liquidity dries out, and a significant bid-ask gap appears, the quote will be split into two distinct pieces of data: the bid is, let’s say 1.4010, while the ask is 1.4050. A very short while, the bid-ask spread will narrow, and the price will gravitate rather hastily to one side. Scalpers use these very fast fluctuations for making quick profits. Right after the price has moved up to 1.4030, and the bid-ask spread has narrowed to normal levels, a scalper may sell, for example, and as volatility takes the price lower to, 1.4020, he closes his short position to open a long one, and so on. The point is to profit from the emotional reactions of the market by remaining calm, and betting that behind the sound and fury, there is nothing of significance, at least for the immediate term.

We’ll discuss this trading method in greater detail while examining news breakouts. Gaps which can be exploited by scalpers appear most often in the aftermath of important news releases. The reader can himself open up the five minute charts of the price action after a non-farm payrolls release, for example, and observe the many “loops” where the price action returns to where it began after a series of very severe zigzags. Some scalpers exploit such periods of emotional intensity for profit in the manner just mentioned. They will buy or sell just before the release itself, and trade the sharp, brief swings for a quick profit.
Leverage

Scalping involves small profits compounded over a long time to generate significant sums. But often the returns from scalping are so small that even when combined over weeks or months the returns are insignificant for the amount of effort involved, due to the small size of the actual movements in the currency market. To overcome this problem, almost all traders involve some amount of leverage while scalping the forex market.

The level of leverage appropriate for a scalper is a subject of debate among traders. But in spite of the debate, the most solid advice that any beginning scalper should heed is to keep leverage as low as possible for at least the first two, three months of trading. We do not want to take significant risks while we are still unsure about which strategy we should be suing while trading. On the other hand, since the scalper is certain to use a predetermined stop-loss, and not to tamper with it (a scalper doesn’t have that much time to spend on each individual trade), a leverage ratio that is inappropriate to slower traders can be acceptable for him. For instance, a trader whose positions are held over weeks may take a long time before deciding to exit a position, even if the market is against him for a time. But the scalper will immediately close a position as soon as the stop-loss level is reached (and the process is usually automatic).

In short, a higher level of leverage (up to 20 or 50:1) can be acceptable for traders who open and close positions in very quick succession, provided that stop-loss orders are never neglected. But there is still one caveat: in cases like the aftermath of a surprise Fed decision, or an unexpected non farm payrolls release, spreads can widen instantly, and there may not be enough time to realize the stop-loss order even with a competent broker, and losses would be multiplied if high leverage were to be used. To prevent such outcomes from materializing, it is a good idea to lower the leverage ratio significantly if we seek to trade market events that can cause gaps in the bid-ask spread, and create very large volatility.
Scalping Strategies

Although we’ll discuss scalping strategies extensively later, we need to mention here that scalping requires a considerable command of technical analysis and strategies. Since one sizable mistake can wipe out the profits of hundreds of trades taken during a whole day, the scalper must be very diligent in analyzing the market, and disciplined while applying his analysis and executing his strategies.

The role of fundamental analysis in scalping is usually very limited. During the time frames preferred by scalpers, markets move in a random fashion for the most part, and it is impossible to discuss the impact of a GDP release during a one-minute period, for example. Needless to say, events influencing the forex market are not limited to the clustered major releases of each day. Many scheduled and unscheduled events provide input to the markets continuously, and as such, even short term movements have some form of macro-reasoning behind them. However, it is exceptionally difficult for the retail trader to keep updated with all kinds of news events occurring throughout the day, and what is more, the markets reaction is itself often erratic and unpredictable. Consequently, it is difficult to use fundamental strategies in scalping.

Finally, some traders combine scalping with another approach such as trend following or range trading and only differ from the pure practitioners of these strategies in terms of their exposure times. Although this is a valid approach, the great complexities of adjusting a trend following strategy to suit a micro-timing trade plan makes this impractical in terms of both analysis and execution.

Forex Scalping

Forex scalping is a popular method involving the quick opening and liquidation of positions. The term “quick” is imprecise, but it is generally meant to define a timeframe of about 3-5 minutes at most, while most scalpers will maintain their positions for as little as one minute.

The popularity of scalping is born of its perceived safety as a trading style. Many traders argue that since scalpers maintain their positions for a brief time period in comparison to regular traders, market exposure of a scalper is much shorter than that of a trend follower, or even a day trader, and consequently, the risk of large losses resulting from strong market moves is smaller. Indeed, it is possible to claim that the typical scalper cares only about the bid-ask spread, while concepts like trend, or range are not very significant to him. Although scalpers need ignore these market phenomena, they are under no obligation to trade them, because they concern themselves only with the brief periods of volatility created by them.

Forex scalping is not a suitable strategy for every type of trader. The returns generated in each position opened by the scalper is usually small; but great profits are made as gains from each closed small position are combined. Scalpers do not like to take large risks, which means that they are willing to forgo great profit opportunities in return for the safety of small, but frequent gains. Consequently, the scalper needs to be a patient, diligent individual who is willing to wait as the fruits of his labors translate to great profits over time. An impulsive, excited character who seeks instant gratification and aims to “make it big” with each consecutive trade is unlikely to achieve anything but frustration while using this strategy.

Scalping also demands a lot more attention from the trader in comparison to other styles such as swing-trading, or trend following. A typical scalper will open and close tens, and in some cases, more than a hundred positions in an ordinary trading day, and since none of the positions can be allowed to suffer great losses (so that we can protect the bottom line), the scalper cannot afford to be careful about some, and negligent about some of his positions. It may appear to be a formidable task at first sight, but scalping can be an involving, even fun trading style once the trader is comfortable with his practices and habits. Still, it is clear that attentiveness and strong concentration skills are necessary for the successful forex scalper. One does not need to be born equipped with such talents, but practice and commitment to achieve them are indispensable if a trader has any serious intention of becoming a real scalper.

Scalping can be demanding, and time-consuming for those who are not full-time traders. Many of us pursue trading merely as an additional income source, and would not like to dedicate five six hours every day to the practice. In order to deal with this problem, automated trading systems have been developed, and they are being sold with rather incredible claims all over the web. We do not advise our readers to waste their time trying to make such strategies work for them; at best you will lose some money while having some lessons about not trusting anyone’s word so easily. However, if you design your own automated systems for trading (with some guidance from seasoned experts and self-education through practice) it may be that you shorten the time which must be dedicated to trading while still being able to use scalping techniques. And an automated forex scalping technique does not need to be fully automatic; you may hand over the routine and systematic tasks such as stop-loss and take-profit orders to the automated system, while assuming the analytical side of the task yourself. This approach, to be sure, is not for everyone, but it is certainly a worthy option.

Finally, scalpers should always keep the importance of consistency in trade sizes while using their favored method. Using erratic trade sizes while scalping is the safest way to ensure that you will have a wiped-out account in no time, unless you stop practicing scalping before the inevitable end. . Scalping is based on the principle that profitable trades will cover the losses of failing ones in due time, but if you pick position sizes randomly, the rules of probability dictate that sooner or later an oversized, leveraged loss will crash all the hard work of a whole day, if not longer. Thus, the scalper must make sure that he pursues a predefined strategy with attention, patience and consistent trade sizes. This is just the beginning, of course, but without a good beginning we would diminish our odds of success, or at least reduce our profit potential.

Now let’s take a look at the contents of this article where forex scalping is discussed with all its details, advantages and disadvantages. Our suggestion is that you peruse all of this article and absorb all the information that can benefit you. But if you think that you’re already familiar with some of the material, to shorten your route, we present the table of contents of this article.
Contents

1. How scalpers make money: Here we will take a look at the logic behind scalping, and we’ll discuss the best conditions and necessary adjustments which must be made by a scalper for profitable trading.

2. Choosing the right broker for scalping: Not every broker is accommodative to scalping. Sometimes this is the stated policy of the firm, at other times the broker creates the conditions which make successful scalping impossible. It is important that the novice scalper know what to look for in the broker before opening his account, and here we’ll try to enlighten you on these important points.

3. Best currencies for Scalping: There are currency pairs where scalping is easy and lucrative, and there are others where we advise strongly against the use of this strategy. In this part we’ll discuss this important subject in detail and give you usable hints for your trades.

4. Best times for Scalping: There is an ongoing debate about the best times for successful scalping in the forex market. We’ll present the various opinions, and then offer our own conclusion.

5. Strategies in Scalping: Strategies in scalping need not differ substantially from other short-term methods. On the other hand, there are particular price patterns and configurations where scalping is more profitable. We’ll examine and study them in depth in this section.

a. Range Scalping: Some traders consider ranging markets better suited for scalping strategies. Here we’ll examine why, and how to scalp under such conditions.

b. Breakout Scalping: We’ll examine news breakouts, and technical breakouts separately and discuss suitable scalping strategies for both.

c. Trend Scalping: Here we’ll take a general look at forex scalping in trending markets.

6. Trend Following while Scalping: Trends are volatile, and many scalpers choose to trade them like a trend follower, while minimizing the trade lifetime in order to control market risk. In this part we’ll examine the usage of Fibonacci extension levels for scalping trends.

7. Disadvantages and Criticism of Scalping: Scalping is not for everyone, and even seasoned scalpers and those committed to the style would do well to keep in mind some of the dangers and disadvantages involved in using the style blindly.

8. Conclusions: In this final section we’ll combine the lessons and discussions of the previous chapters, and reach at conclusions about who should use the forex scalping trading style, and the best conditions under which it can be utilized.

how to Install marketiva in linux

Here how the way I get it working with my ubuntu 9.04

First thing you should have this things.
  • Ubuntu 10.04 (not sure with other release/distro, tested only with ubuntu)
  • Pre-installed Crossover version 7.10
  • Microsoft true type fonts (sudo apt-get install ttf-mscorefonts-installer)
  • Internet connection (to download all dependencies needed by crossover)

1. Run your crossover, then install Internet Explorer 6. It will also download all dependencies needed. This will create a default Windows 98 bottle environment.

2. Then run the Streamster.exe within the bottle (windows 98). Then an error message from streamster installer will appear to ask you to download DSCLIENT.exe to support encryption connection for Windows 98.

3. Quit the installer and download the DSCLIENT.EXE(UPDATED) Credit to Michał Bogusiak from Poland for the download link info.

4. Install the DSCLIENT.exe within windows 98 bottle then continue installing with Streamster.exe.

5. Finish. Then log in to your account and test it.

Here are my screenshoot.