Friday, October 23, 2015

FOREXYARD: Forex News Blog

FOREXYARD: Forex News Blog

Link to Forex Trading Education : Forex Trading Blog by FOREXYARD

Market Review 01.02.2013

Posted: 01 Feb 2013 12:53 AM PST

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The EUR/USD shot up to a 15-month high during the Asian session last night, as confidence in the euro-zone economic recovery continued to generate risk taking among investors. Meanwhile, the Japanese yen extended its bearish trend amid speculations regarding future aggressive monetary easing from the Bank of Japan. The USD/JPY gained close to 60 pips to trade as high as 92.28.

Gold and crude oil were largely range trading throughout the overnight session, ahead of key US employment data today.

Main News for Today

US Non-Farm Employment Change- 13:30 GMT
• The Non-Farm figure is widely considered the most important economic indicator on the forex calendar
• If today's news comes in below the forecasted 161K, investor confidence in the US economic recovery may go down, which would result in losses for the US dollar
• Additionally, if today's news disappoints, gold prices may be able to stage a bullish correction before markets close for the weekend

Read more forex news on our forex blog

Market Review 31.01.2013

Posted: 31 Jan 2013 01:04 AM PST

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The euro traded just below a 14-month high of 1.3586 against the US dollar during overnight trading last night, after the Fed decided yesterday to leave their policy of monetary easing in place. Against the JPY, the common-currency lost just over 30 pips during the Asian session, and is currently trading at 123.30, slightly below a recent 2 ½ year high.

Both crude oil and gold saw relatively little movement last night, as investors eagerly await a key US jobs report tomorrow for clues as to the current state of the American economic recovery.

Main News for Today

US Unemployment Claims- 13:30 GMT
• Analysts expect today's news to show a minor increase in unemployment claims from last week
• If the predictions are true, the dollar could take additional losses against its main rivals ahead of tomorrow's all-important Non-Farm Payrolls figure

Read more forex news on our forex blog

Market Review 30.01.2013

Posted: 30 Jan 2013 12:40 AM PST

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The EUR/USD shot up to a 14-month high in early morning trading today, as investor confidence in the euro-zone economic recovery continues to boost riskier assets. The pair, which is currently trading at 1.3510, has advanced close to 30 pips since the beginning of Asian trading last night.

Bearish US dollar movement last night helped gold become more affordable for international buyers, which boosted demand. The precious metal, which is currently trading at $1667.75 an ounce, gained over $5 during the Asian session.

Main News for Today

US ADP Non-Farm Employment Change- 13:15 GMT
• The indicator is considered an accurate predictor of Friday's all important Non-Farm Payrolls figure
• If today's news comes in below the forecasted 164K, the dollar could take additional losses during afternoon trading

US Advance GDP- 13:30 GMT
• The GDP figure is forecasted to show a slowdown in US economic growth
• If today's news comes in below the expected 1.1%, the dollar is likely to extend its current bearish trend

US FOMC Statement- 19:15 GMT
• If the FOMC signals a slowdown in the US economic recovery when their statement is issued, risk aversion may lead to gains for the yen against the USD

Thursday, October 22, 2015

FOREXYARD: Forex News Blog

FOREXYARD: Forex News Blog

Link to Forex Trading Education : Forex Trading Blog by FOREXYARD » S&P downgrade

Today’s Summary: Industry Faltering, GDP Sluggish, Dollar Bearish

Posted: 28 Apr 2011 12:25 PM PDT

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An ominous trend has developed among the top global economies in regards to industrial production. Great Britain initially published a report which showed industrial order expectations sinking rapidly for the month of April. Then the euro zone released its industrial new orders report on Wednesday, revealing slower growth than was expected, and coming alongside a sluggish core durable goods report from the United States.

This morning's sharp downturn in Japanese industrial production, linked with those similar downturns in Great Britain, Europe and the United States, has now emerged and together paints a grim picture. On the currency side, the yen still suffers from its own economic concerns, but dollar bears outpaced the yen's in this morning's trading hours, helping to sink the USD/JPY temporarily despite Japan's dire economic outlook. The pair also looks to be continuing this movement for the foreseeable future given the shift in sentiment away from the US dollar.

But the JPY did lose ground against almost all of its rivals yesterday partially as a result of the industrial downturn, but also as an S&P downgrade of Japan's debt outlook from 'stable' to 'negative' caused a shift away from the island economy in the short- to mid-term.

The recent wave of industrial reports, revealing a global faltering among the industrial sector, may also be connected with recent GDP figures out of Britain and the United States. British Prelim GDP showed little movement, but remains at a dismal 0.5%. US Advance GDP, however, came out below expectations at 1.8%; pathetic when compared with Q4 2010 GDP, which published growth of 3.1%.

Being the first of three GDP reports from the US means the American economy still has time to lift this figure to an acceptable level. The downshift away from the greenback should help in the next few months by lifting exports. And this means traders should be able to profit from short dollar trades over the next few weeks, according to our analysts.

Wednesday, October 21, 2015

FOREXYARD: Forex News Blog

FOREXYARD: Forex News Blog

Link to Forex Trading Education : Forex Trading Blog by FOREXYARD » silver prices

Gold Tumbles As U.S Dollar Strengthens

Posted: 23 Apr 2012 09:14 AM PDT

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The price of gold has weakened to a two-week low after a boost in the U.S dollar had made the metal less appealing as an alternative investment during Monday’s trading. Silver experienced even greater losses than that of gold after falling to a three-month low.

The greenback made gains of 0.5 percent versus a number of its currency counterparts due to concerns over the French presidential elections. There is fresh concern that the result of the presidential elections in France will interfere with efforts to aid the nation’s debt crisis.

Gold prices for June Contract dropped 0.8 percent to $1,629.60 an ounce during the early New York session. Prior to hitting that level, the yellow metal fell to $1,623.60, the lowest level since April 5. Before  today’s drop in gold prices, the metal has fallen 1.7 percent for the month of April so far.

Elsewhere, Silver prices sharply dipped to trade below the $30.74 level, after previously declining to $30.63, the lowest silver price since January 20.

Silver Hits $34.40 Level

Posted: 28 Feb 2011 11:49 PM PST

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Silver prices rose significantly in the past month and peaked at $34.40 an ounce. However, the daily chart is suggesting that a recent upwards trend is loosing steam and a bearish correction is impending. Forex traders involved with commodities like this can take advantage of this knowledge by going short on silver now, and at a great entry price!

• Below is the 4-hour chart for silver by ForexYard.

• The technical indicators used are the Slow Stochastic, RSI and Williams Percent Range.

• Point 1: The Slow Stochastic indicates a bearish cross, signaling that the next move may be in a downward direction.

• Point 2: The Williams Percent Ranges is showing that this pair is heavily over-bought and may be experiencing strong downward pressure.

• Point 3: The RSI signals that the price of this pair currently floats in the over-bought territory, suggesting downward pressure.

Siver 1-3-2011

Why Silver’s Rising Price will Outpace Gold’s

Posted: 21 Feb 2011 03:30 AM PST

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No doubt every trader in the market at this week's start noticed the sudden surge in commodity prices. Precious metals like Gold and Silver in particular have gained an exorbitant amount over the past month. But are their price movements on par with one another?

Looking at the fundamental side, the tensions spreading across the Middle East and North Africa have indeed carried a high impact on commodity prices; Gold and Crude Oil especially. Oil's price rise appears in line with the safe-haven Gold, but fundamental factors affecting the speculation of oil supply disruptions are more likely behind Crude's latest price moves and may be more sharply affected by developments in the region.

Gold and Silver, on the other hand, are affected not only by risk flight, but also technical speculation, as well as industrial demand, in the case of Silver.

The difference between these latter two is particularly interesting for traders. Whereas Gold has a large market of buyers and sellers, the Silver market is relatively thin, leading to higher volatility in silver trading.

Gold's rising price was fueled by a large market of technical buyers who have been purchasing on dips following the break past $1340 per troy ounce. Silver, however, has breached its 30-year high price level, meaning there is little technical data a trader can base his/her trades on from reviewing the charts.

The lack of historical resistance lines above where Silver currently trades, as well as the thin market of Silver traders, means Silver prices possesses an above-average tendency to become overextended. Silver is also tied with electrical component industries as well as solar panel producers, which have seen rising profits over the past few years on recent hi-tech surges and energy diversification, respectively.

Gold prices are approaching the strong historical resistance level of $1420 an ounce, but Silver has no such historical line in sight. Analysts are using this information to anticipate a bullish run in Silver prices over the next week or two, whereas Gold may find resistance relatively soon and dip back down towards the $1340 price level.

Sell Signals on Silver

Posted: 29 Dec 2010 03:19 AM PST

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Silver’s sustained upward movement has finally pushed its price into the over-bought territory on the 4-hour chart’s RSI. Not only that, but there actually appears to be a bearish cross on the Slow Stochastic pointing to an imminent downward correction. Forex traders have the opportunity to wait for the downward breach on the hourlies and go short in order to ride out the impending wave.

Silver 28-12-2010

Silver Trading Update

Posted: 25 Nov 2010 11:38 PM PST

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Typical of a sustained movement, similar to what silver prices have been experiencing, there eventually arrives a decision point. Concerning the price of silver, that point may have arrived. We've seen silver prices climbing steadily these past few weeks as concerns over the Euro-Zone's sovereign debt crisis and Ireland default have pushed many investors out of currency safe-havens and into commodities such as silver.

What we see now in the charts is silver prices hitting a potential breaking point. The $29.30 price level appears to represent a strong resistance line for silver prices. It is only natural then that our technical indicators, displayed below, are showing an impending downward correction. But is the price of silver really ready to halt its upward mobility?

• The chart below is the silver weekly chart by ForexYard.

• The indicators used are the MACD, Stochastic (slow), and the Fibonacci Retracement lines were also drawn.

• Point 1: Here we see that the price has reached a significant resistance point, represented by the 100% Fibonacci Retracement line.

• Point 2: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicates that the price of this cross currently floats in the overbought territory, signaling downward pressure.

• Point 3: There is an impending bearish cross on the MACD which highlight a downward movement is going to occur in the near future.

Silver Weekly Chartsilver 26-11-2010

Silver Hits $27.55 an Ounce

Posted: 25 Nov 2010 10:54 AM PST

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Silver was little changed on Thursday, lacking strong impetus due to the U.S. Thanksgiving holiday but backed up by some safe-haven buying amid Europe’s debt crisis and heightened tensions between North and South Korea. However, there is much technical data that supports a bearish move for today as described below.

• The technical indicators used are the Slow Stochastic and MACD.

• Point 1: The Slow Stochastic shows a fresh bearish cross which may indicate an impending bearish movement.

• Point 2: There are multiple bearish crosses on the Stochastic (slow) which highlight an impending downward correction.

• The volatile upward movement which occurred prior to this downward correction has generated these indicators, and there appears to be room for this correction to continue.

Silver Daily Chart
silver 25-11-2010

Silver Rises Above $19 an Ounce

Posted: 12 May 2010 11:34 PM PDT

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Silver prices rose significantly in the last week and peaked at $19.50 an ounce. However, the 8-hour chart is suggesting that a recent upwards trend is loosing steam and a bearish correction is impending. Forex traders involved with commodities like this can take advantage of this knowledge by going short on silver now, and at a great entry price!

• Below is the 8-hour chart for silver by ForexYard.

• The technical indicators used are the Slow Stochastic, RSI and Williams Percent Range.

• Point 1: The Slow Stochastic indicates a bearish cross, signaling that the next move may be in a downward direction.

• Point 2: The RSI signals that the price of this pair currently floats in the over-bought territory, suggesting downward pressure.

• Point 3: The Williams Percent Ranges is showing that this pair is heavily over-bought and may be experiencing strong downward pressure.

Silver 8-Hour Chart
Silver 13-5-2010

Silver Recovers to $15.20 an Ounce

Posted: 09 Feb 2010 07:22 AM PST

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Silver prices steadied above $15.20 on Tuesday, but sentiment continued to be hurt by worries over fiscal stability in Europe, curbing appetite for riskier assets such as commodities. Silver recovery from three-month lows hit last week has been limited due to technical selling and fund liquidation amid an uncertain economic outlook. Traders should take advantage of this unique opportunity and use the volatile market in order to capitalize profits.

Pivot: 15.00
Our Preference: LONG positions @ 15.15 with 15.5 & 16 as next targets.
Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 15 will call for a slide towards 14.5 & 14.
Comment: the price is escaping from its descending channel.
Trend: ST Ltd upside; MT Bearish
Key levels Comment
16.4**
16***
15.5**
15.24 Last
15**
14.5**
14**

silver 9-2

Silver Trades Around $17

Posted: 25 Jan 2010 11:42 PM PST

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In last week's trading, the silver experienced much bearishness. However, as I will illustrate below the 8-hour chart's oscillators support a bullish reversal for today. Traders should take advantage of this unique opportunity and use the volatile market in order to capitalize profits.

• Below is the 8-hour Silver chart by ForexYard.

• The technical indicators that are used are the Relative Strength Index (RSI), Williams Percent Range and MACD.

• Point 1: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) signals that the price of this pair currently floats in the over-sold territory, suggesting upward pressure.

• Point 2: The Williams Percent Ranges is showing that this pair is heavily over-sold and may be experiencing strong upward pressure.

• Point 3: The MACD indicates an impending bullish cross, which may signal an upward movement is going to occur in the near future.

Silver 8- Hour chart
silver 26-1

Impending Bearishness for Silver

Posted: 11 Jan 2010 07:26 AM PST

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Last week’s bullish movement in Silver has pushed a number of technical indicators into the over-bought territory. As I will demonstrate below, the price of Silver may very well be heading for a reversal. Forex traders can take advantage of this impending movement by having their Entry Orders in place to capture this reversal. Don't forget your Stops and Limits!

• Point 1: The Slow Stochastic indicates a bearish cross, signaling that the next move may be in a downward direction.

• Point 2: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicates that the price of this cross currently floats in the overbought territory, signaling downward pressure.

• Point 3: The Williams Percent Range has peaked near at the 0 marker, which means that there may actually be a strong level of downward pressure.

Silver Daily Chart
Silver 11-1

Silver Reversal in the Works

Posted: 12 Oct 2009 04:51 AM PDT

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Silver prices gained sharply in last week’s trading session and touched a record high of $17.94 per ounce, as a weaker dollar provided support to the upside. However, as I demonstrate below, that the silver may very well be heading for a reversal, and it might have the potential of reaching towards $17.40 in the coming days. Forex traders can take advantage of this imminent downward movement by entering short positions at an excellent entry price.

• The technical indicators used are the Slow Stochastic, Relative Strength Index (RSI) and MACD.

• Point 1: The Slow Stochastic indicates a fresh bearish cross, which may signal a downward movement is going to occur in the near future.

• Point 2: The price currently floats in the over-bought territory, highlighting downward pressure.

• Point 3: A bearish cross, and the potential for a second bearish cross in the near future, may indicate an immediate correction in the nearest time-frame.

Silver Daily Chart
Silver 12-10