Tuesday, January 20, 2015

FOREXYARD: Forex News Blog

FOREXYARD: Forex News Blog

Link to Forex Trading Education : Forex Trading Blog by FOREXYARD » British Revised GDP

US GDP Sets High Expectations

Posted: 25 Feb 2010 11:20 PM PST

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After Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke’s testimony yesterday, the USD has entered a minor down-turn. His statements reaffirmed the notion that interest rates will be held at record lows for some time. Even though the US stock market received a boost from this news, the greenback suffered a set back.

Events to watch today:

9:30 GMT: GBP – Revised GDP

- The second, revised, edition of the British Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is one of the less important versions of Britain’s economic overview, but given the GBP’s recent downturn and political tensions, any figures coming out of Britain that do not prove positive have the ability to damage the GBP’s strength.

13:30 GMT: USD – Prelim GDP

- The Prelim GDP report for the United States is similar to the British Revised GDP listed above. The difference is that Bernanke’s testimony yesterday which reconfirmed the Fed’s desire to hold rates at record lows for some time has had a dampening effect on the greenback. If this report proves negative, the USD’s small downturn could become a larger downturn going into the end of this week’s trading.

British Revised GDP

Posted: 28 Aug 2009 01:50 AM PDT

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About 5 minutes ago, the British Revised GDP figures were released, showing a -0.6 decline rather than -0.7%. This is basically what investors expected. Immediately following the result, the GBP/USD cross dipped below the 1.6300 mark. However, soon after trader confidence pushed the GBP/USD pair back up to the 1.6310 level. Therefore, my previous article that written around 2 hours or so earlier was correct.

It is recommended that you buy into this pair whilst it is still rising. Additionally, despite the downtrend facing the British economy, it’s important to take into account that the GBP is extremely undervalued. Therefore, the GBP is likely to gain against currencies such as the USD, EUR, and JPY today. As Friday’s trading lifts off, it is recommended that you buy into the GBP’s main crosses.

If you read my other article at the GBP CAMPAIGN, you will have come to realize that most of my predictions have been correct. Therefore, in order to make BIG PROFITS NOW, I recommend you open a standard account with ForexYard. If you have any more questions about the GBP, or any other currency, you can always email me.

British Revised GDP – 1st Quarter

Posted: 21 May 2009 05:20 AM PDT

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This Friday the British Revised GDP figures are scheduled to be published at 8:30 GMT. This data release is a measure of the alteration in the value of services and goods that are produced by the British economy in each quarter. In most cases an equal or better than forecasted result produces a bullish Pound versus its major currency crosses. The data release is the most extensive and important primary measures of the health of the British economy. There are 3 varieties of GDP figures that are published about a month apart. These are the Preliminary, Revised, and Final. The former, however, seems to impact markets the most as it is the earliest release.

Most analysts are of the view that the British Revised GDP figures of the 1st quarter will be about -1.9% from the 4th quarter of 2008. The forecast is actually identical to the figures from the previous quarter. This is due to the economic decline in Britain at a steady pace, as the reality on the ground shows mixed signals coming out of the British economy. However, forecasts point to Britain climbing out of the economic recession earlier than her European counterparts. The GBP/USD rate is currently trading over 100 pips lower at 1.5668, despite rising to over 1.5815 in yesterday’s trading on Wednesday. The EUR/GBP rate is 65 pips higher at 0.8975, eating into yesterday’s gains for the cable.

If the GDP figures are the same or are worse than the forecasted -1.9% figure than this could lead to a bearish GBP going into end of week trading. Therefore, the GBP/USD rate could go below 1.5560, whilst the EUR/GBP cross could fall below 0.8745. However, if the results are less severe than analysts fear, then there could be a very bullish GBP going into next week’s trading. Therefore, the GBP could jump over 100 pips against the USD, EUR and JPY respectively. In the meantime, traders are advised to pay close attention to news events coming out of Britain and the U.S., such as U.S. Unemployment Claims today at 12.30 GMT.

Saturday, December 13, 2014

FOREXYARD: Forex News Blog

FOREXYARD: Forex News Blog

Link to Forex Trading Education : Forex Trading Blog by FOREXYARD » trade setup

GBP/JPY Ascending Triangle Trade

Posted: 15 Jul 2010 12:32 AM PDT

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The pair has been consolidating over the past 6 weeks while forming a chart pattern that looks to break to the downside in a continuation with the long term trend.

Following the sharp deprecation in the price of the pair during the month of May, the GBP/JPY has consolidated its losses and has formed an ascending triangle pattern.

A halt to the trend can be verified by the flat 20-day exponential moving average. Also a significant drop off in volatility is shown by the decrease in the Average True Range (14). A tightening of the daily chart’s Bollinger Bands confirms the reduced volatility in the pair.

Because the long term trend is to the downside, it is assumed that a breakout will be in this direction. However, traders are not limited to one direction in this trade setup. By placing a stop on the inside of the triangle to guard against a false breakout, losses can be minimized should the breakout fail to materialize. Therefore, a trade setup can be in either direction.

A breakout to the upside would target the resistance level at 138.25, followed by the significant resistance line of 139.25 and a long term target at 140.50, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level from the downward trend that began in August of 2009.

If the long term trend continues and the pair breaks out of the triangle to the downside, the first target would be the support at 131.30, followed by the bottom of the downward trend at 126.75.

GBPJPY Triangle

Forex Technical Analysis – Short the EUR/USD – Bearish Channel

Posted: 31 May 2010 06:52 AM PDT

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The pair has experienced a bit of a consolidation since reaching a low of 1.2150 last week. As such, the price has climbed close to the upper boundry of the bearish channel that has formed on the daily chart, presenting a possible trade setup to go short on the pair.

Friday's trading had the EUR/USD climbing to a daily high of 1.2450. This daily high was the third contact point for the downward sloping trend line, making it a significant trend line. A parallel line drawn below the price action displays a bearish channel. The long term downward sloping trend line is also displayed, taking into account all the price action for the bearish trend.

A trade setup to go short on the EUR/USD is forming as the price moves closer to the upper boundary of the channel. Going short at a trend line can be one of the best ways to enter into a trending market.

A protective stop can be placed above the resistance level (R1) at 1.2390 and the support level (S1) at 1.2150 can be used as a price target. At the current spot price of 1.2315, this would give roughly a 2:1 profit to risk reward.

EURUSD Bearish Channel

Forex Technical Analysis – USD/JPY – Bullish Flag

Posted: 23 Apr 2010 02:06 AM PDT

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The USD/JPY appears to be ending a period of consolidation as the pair formed a bullish flag pattern on the daily chart. Below is a possible trade setup for the USD/JPY

The daily chart shows a sharp price appreciation in the pair beginning on March 24th and continued on to set the yearly high for the pair at a price of 94.78. Following this sharp price jump of 432 pips, the pair formed a price channel with a negative slope as shown in the chart below. The Forex Technical Analysis shows this pattern to be a bullish flag.

To trade the pattern, traders may want to wait for a confirmation of the breakout. An entry long on the USD/JPY at 10% above the flagpole at the price of 95.21 (432*0.1 = 43) should provide enough clarity. This would also allow the price to breach the resistance line at the price of 95.

A stop of 25% of the flagpole can be set at 93.70 (432*0.25). This would make for a risk of 108 pips and help contain the risk of the trade.

The first take profit level would be the amount at risk, or 108 pips, at a price level of 96.29.

A second take profit level would be the full length of the flagpole of 432 pips at a price of 99.53.

USDJPY Bull Flag