Thursday, December 9, 2010

FOREXYARD: Forex News Blog

FOREXYARD: Forex News Blog

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Oil Inventories Decrease by 3.8m Barrels

Posted: 08 Dec 2010 08:14 AM PST

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Crude Oil Inventory data released by the Energy Information Administration (EIA) today revealed a decline in inventories for the week ending Dec. 3rd.

An expectation for a boost to oil prices failed to materialize, however, as the report signaled that the decline remained above average for this time of year. Crude Oil investors sold the commodity ahead of the release on such expectations, pushing the price of oil down to $88 a barrel.

Almost an hour after the publication it looks as if the price of Crude Oil is beginning to find some support with the price pushing back towards $88.20 in the immediate short-term. Whether this will continue into the American close is yet to be determined.

Oil Prices Lifted from Severe Cold in US Northeast

Posted: 08 Dec 2010 04:42 AM PST

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The sudden spike above $90 a barrel in Crude Oil on Monday has many investors paying close attention to today’s release of Crude Oil Inventories from the United States.

As the winter season begins to pound the American northeast, with colder than expected temperatures and fresh snowfall in New York, the supply side of the heating fuel equation has come under question, lifting oil and natural gas prices higher in trading.

If inventories grow in today’s publication we could see the price of Light, Sweet Crude settle back towards $87 a barrel in today’s American trading session. If inventories decline, on the other hand, speculators could take this as a hint that the supply side is more limited than forecast and begin to lift the price of oil higher.

USD/CHF Provides Bearish Signals

Posted: 07 Dec 2010 11:36 PM PST

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The volatile of the USD/CHF pair continues to be affected by the volatile forex market. The last week has seen a lot of bullish strength in the USD/CHF pair. However, as I demonstrated below, it seems that the pair's bullish run may have run out of steam, and a bearish correction could be underway soon. Forex traders have the opportunity to wait for the downward breach on the hourlies and go short in order to ride out the impending wave.

• Below is the 4 hour chart of the USD/CHF currency pair.

• The technical indicators used are the Slow Stochastic, Williams Percent Ranges, and Relative Strength Index (RSI).

• Point 1: The Slow Stochastic indicates an impending bearish cross, signaling that the next move may be in a downward direction.

• Point 2: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) signals that the price of this pair currently floats in the over-bought territory, indicating downward pressure.

• Point 3: The Williams Percent Range has peaked near at the 0 marker, which means that there may actually be a strong level of downward pressure.

USD/CHF 4-Hour Chart
USD-CHF 8-12-2010

Commodities Reach New Highs Before Pulling Back

Posted: 07 Dec 2010 08:36 PM PST

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Gold, silver, and crude oil all reached new highs yesterday before a selloff in commodities pushed prices down and the three commodities finished the day lower. However, this may just be a result of short term profit taking before the next rally.

Today's market events are:

EUR – German Industrial Production – 11:00 GMT
Expectations: 1.1%. Previous: -0.8%.
An output below market expectations may hurt the value of the EUR/CHF. The next support for the pair rests at 1.3000 followed by 1.2930. Resistance comes in at 1.3200.

Oil – Weekly Crude Oil Inventories
Expectations: -1.3m. Previous: 1.1m.
A larger draw down than expected could help continue to push prices up above the $90 level until the $100 level.

NZD – Official Cash Rate
Expectations: 3.00%. Previous: 3.00%.
New Zealand is not expected to adjust its interest rate. Yesterday Australia held its interest rate steady and hinted at a looser monetary policy. Perhaps the same can be expected from New Zealand. If this is the case further bullishness in the AUD/NZD should be seen with the next resistance levels coming in at 1.3070 and 1.3210.

Spot gold prices rose to a new all-time high yesterday before falling lower. The hourly chart shows the price is currently trading near the congestion area of $1,390. This may present an opportunity to enter long with a target at the resistance level of $1,410, followed by the all-time high of $1,431. Forex traders can place a protective stop below the support level of $1,380 for a trade setup that allows for a respectable 2:1 profit to risk ratio.

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